Stock Market Forecast for May 14, 2025: Will Nifty and Sensex Rebound After Sharp Fall?
Published: May 13, 2025 | By: TalesXP Market Desk
The Indian stock market faced a significant setback on May 13, 2025, as the BSE Sensex tanked over 1,281 points and the Nifty 50 dropped by 346 points, slipping below the 24,600 mark. This sell-off triggered panic among retail investors and raised questions about what lies ahead for the markets on Wednesday, May 14, 2025.
In this in-depth article, we analyze the technical levels, global cues, sectoral outlook, earnings impact, and institutional behavior to provide a comprehensive forecast for the Indian share market tomorrow. Is it time to buy the dip, or is more pain ahead? LetтАЩs break it down.
ЁЯУЙ Recap of May 13 Market Crash
The markets began the week with strong bullish momentum on Monday, gaining over 4%. However, Tuesday saw a complete reversal. The benchmark indices ended deep in red amid profit booking, global uncertainty, and weak cues from the tech and banking sectors.
- SENSEX: Closed at 81,148.22, down 1,281.68 points (тИТ1.55%)
- NIFTY 50: Closed at 24,578.35, down 346.35 points (тИТ1.39%)
- India VIX: Spiked to 15.20, indicating rising market nervousness
ЁЯФН Why Did the Market Crash?
- Profit Booking: After a stellar Monday rally, investors locked in gains.
- Weak Global Sentiment: U.S.тАУChina trade tensions and tech stock volatility impacted Indian IT shares.
- Mixed Q4 Earnings: Key companies posted earnings below street expectations.
- FII Outflows: Foreign institutional investors sold heavily amid global risk-off mood.
ЁЯФо Market Forecast for May 14, 2025
Despite the correction, analysts remain cautiously optimistic about a technical rebound on May 14, assuming there are no adverse surprises from global markets or macroeconomic data releases.
1. ЁЯзн Technical Analysis Outlook
Technical indicators suggest the market is nearing oversold zones. Key moving averages are still intact for the medium term.
Nifty 50 Forecast:
- Immediate Support: 24,450 / 24,300
- Resistance: 24,750 / 25,000
- RSI: 43 (mildly oversold)
- MACD: Showing bearish crossover
SENSEX Forecast:
- Support: 80,000 / 79,500
- Resistance: 81,800 / 82,400
- RSI: 46 (neutral zone)
тАЬA short-term pullback is possible if support holds at 24,450. But traders should remain cautious due to rising volatility.тАЭ тАФ Rajeev Mishra, Angel One
2. ЁЯМО Global Cues
Indian markets will track global movements closely. U.S. inflation data, Asian market trends, and crude oil prices will play a pivotal role.
- U.S. CPI data: Due tonight; may determine FedтАЩs next rate move
- Crude oil: Brent near $81 тАФ stable, positive for India
- Asian futures: Nikkei, Hang Seng trading flat to green
3. ЁЯз╛ Q4 Earnings Impact
Several major companies are due to announce quarterly results on May 14. Their performance could set the market tone:
- Airtel: Expected strong ARPU growth
- ONGC: Watch for upstream performance
- SBI Life: Stable premium collections, watch margin trends
4. ЁЯза Institutional Activity
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have shown a net outflow trend this week, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) continue to support the market.
- FIIs: Net sold тВ╣1,764 crore on May 13
- DIIs: Net bought тВ╣1,234 crore
ЁЯУК Sectoral Outlook for May 14, 2025
ЁЯЪА Likely Gainers
- Pharma: Lupin, Cipla, Sun Pharma (strong momentum)
- FMCG: HUL, Dabur, ITC (safe-haven buying)
- Infra & Power: NTPC, Adani Green (budget optimism)
тЪая╕П Potential Losers
- IT: Infosys, Wipro, TechM (global tech weakness)
- Auto: Tata Motors, Hero MotoCorp (rising cost concerns)
- Private Banks: Axis Bank, ICICI Bank (valuation correction)
ЁЯЫая╕П Strategy for Traders & Investors
Short-Term Traders:
- Use 24,300тАУ24,450 as stop-loss zone
- Trade small volumes; avoid leverage
- Look for bounce in defensive stocks (FMCG, Pharma)
Long-Term Investors:
- Use dips to accumulate in SIP mode
- Focus on fundamentals in pharma, infra, PSU banks
- Rebalance portfolios to reduce overexposure to IT and auto
ЁЯУЕ Key Events to Watch on May 14
- India CPI Inflation for April 2025
- U.S. CPI and Fed rate outlook
- Earnings: Airtel, ONGC, SBI Life
- Rupee-dollar movement
Markets are entering a sensitive zone. If IndiaтАЩs inflation comes within RBI’s comfort range and global cues remain stable, a technical rebound is possible. However, caution should prevail as volatility remains high. Watch support levels closely and stay updated on earnings and macroeconomic data.
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